Working paper


Perceived versus Calibrated Income Risks in Heterogeneous-agent Consumption Models (Job Market Paper)[Working Paper][BoC SWP][Slides][Bib]

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How Do Agents Form Macroeconomic Expectations? Evidence from Inflation Uncertainty[Working Paper][BoC SWP][Slides][GitHub][Bib]

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Uncovering Subjective Models from Survey Expectations[Working Paper][Slides][Bib]

(with Chenyu (Sev) Hou)
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Publications


Epidemiological Expectations[Working Paper][NBER WP][Jupyter Notebook][Slides][GitHub][Bib]

(in the Handbook of Economic Expectations)(with Christopher Carroll)
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Learning from Friends in a Pandemic: Social Networks and the Macroeconomic Response of Consumption[Working Paper][Slides][GitHub][SSRN][VoxEU][Bib]

(European Economic Review ) (with Christos Makridis)
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Work in progress


Perceived Unemployment Risks over Business Cycles[Working Paper][Bib]

(with Xincheng Qiu, William Du and Adrian Monninger)

Perceived Delinquency Risks and Realized Outcomes: A Tale of Two Countries

Partisan Split in Macro and Micro Expectations

(with Adrian Monninger and Kyung Woong Koh)

Consumption Spending before and after Unemployment

(with Michael Boutros and Nathanael Vellekoop)

Experienced Volatility, Subjective Attribution, and Perceived Income Risks